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That way you control the race as rivals have to attack you — giving Team Sky the flexibility to defend and counter. Is Quintana better equipped this year to not lose time early? The only thing that might stop the big showdown is the fact that the stage does not finish on a mountain top.
There are 6kms of tricky steep descending into Lac de Payolle. Risk assessments pre-stage might dictate that the big two attack but not full bore. Yes, they might drop some of their other rivals but they might leave the maximum effort for Saturday or Sunday. I would be surprised to see the GC group contain more than riders at the finish line. If the GC riders attack then Greg van Avermaet will almost certainly lose the yellow jersey. There is a small climb to the line.
In that race only Richie Porte could stick with Froome, but he too was dropped in the last metres. Nairo Quintana did not feature in that race and I feel he would have stayed in contention. Were Froome to attack I can see only two riders together at the end of the stage 7.
With that in mind the early prices for Froome They are both worth the risk of taking as small EW punts. I can guarantee we will not see their prices that high in subsequent mountain stages in the race. Now the buts. There are risks in descending, especially after an attack on the up slope. That way they can see how well the other GC riders are going, maybe putting some in trouble. Then there is protection for Froome and Quintana on the run in to Lac de Payole.
In this scenario the favourite for the stage in the bookies minds, Alejando Valverde Movistar will come to the fore. You can back Valverde at odds of 6. Valverde is an excellent descender so he could even escape before the finish. Dan Martin Etixx Quickstep is currently 2nd favourite for stage 7 at 8.
He has kept himself fairly quiet in the race so far and remains locked on the same time as Froome and Quintana. Martin has the explosiveness to challenge Valverde for the stage win were a small GC group to approach the finish together. If Quick Step leadout functions as the well oiled machine you'd expect, the Italian is a very hard man to beat.
Caleb Ewan and Dylan Groenewegen are his closest rivals. The Dutchman has endured both a crash and poor positioning in his opening two attempts to net a victory, but will be chomping at the bit to net a stage win. They provide information to help you make informed decisions about your gambling. Problem gambling? Call the National Gambling Helpline: freephone 8am to midnight, 7 days a week. We are committed to responsible gambling and have a number of ways to help you stay in control and keep gambling fun.
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